Superliga (Romania) · Sat, Oct 10 · 18:30 · FCSB vs SC Oțelul Galați
Likeliest: FCSB win · 64%
Likely score: 2–1
We make it 59% for both teams to score. The market says 54%.
5 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FCSB64%62%+2
OursMarket
Draw22%22%0
OursMarket
SC Oțelul Galați15%17%−2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 58% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 59% | 54% | +5 |
| Double chance 1X | 85% | 83% | +2 |
| Double chance X2 | 37% | 38% | −2 |
| Double chance 12 | 79% | 78% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 81% | 79% | +2 |
| Expected goals | 2.3 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FCSB
LossLossLossDrawLoss
- Sep 19 · at Universitatea Craiova (A)0-5
- Sep 14 · v FC Petrolul Ploieşti (H)2-2
- Sep 5 · at FC Dinamo București (A)1-2
- Aug 30 · v UTA Arad (H)1-3
- Aug 23 · at CFR 1907 Cluj (A)0-1
SC Oțelul Galați
WinDrawLossLossLoss
- Sep 21 · v FC Corvinul Hunedoara (H)2-3
- Sep 14 · at FC Universitatea Cluj (A)0-3
- Sep 6 · v FC Rapid București (H)0-1
- Aug 28 · at FC Voluntari (A)2-2
- Aug 24 · v FC Argeș Pitești (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | FCSB | SC Oțelul Galați |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-5 | 2-4-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-4-2 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.