UEFA Women's Champions League (Europe) · Wed, Aug 5 · 14:30 · Ferencváros TC vs PAOK
Likeliest: Ferencváros TC win · 44%
We make it 68% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 57%.
11 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Ferencváros TC44%50%−6
OursMarket
Draw24%25%−1
OursMarket
PAOK32%25%+7
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 57% | +11 |
| Both teams score | 71% | 56% | +15 |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | 75% | −7 |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | 50% | +6 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 75% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | 67% | −9 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Ferencváros TC
No recent results tracked.
PAOK
WinWin
- Jul 25 · v Neftchi Baku PFC (H)3-0
- Jul 22 · v Hapoel Jerusalem (H)3-1