Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División (Argentina) · Wed, Oct 21 · 18:00 · Ferro Carril Oeste Reserve vs Colón Reserve
Likeliest: Ferro Carril Oeste Reserve win · 42%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Ferro Carril Oeste Reserve42%——
OursMarket
Draw32%——
OursMarket
Colón Reserve27%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 69% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.2 | 0.9 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Ferro Carril Oeste Reserve
DrawLossLossDrawLoss
- Oct 15 · at Boca Juniors Reserve (A)0-1
- Oct 7 · v CA Independiente Reserve (H)0-0
- Sep 29 · at Atletico Rafaela Reserve (A)2-3
- Sep 22 · at Vélez Sarsfield Reserve (A)0-4
- Sep 16 · v Platense Reserve (H)1-1
Colón Reserve
LossDrawLossLossLoss
- Oct 14 · v Independiente Rivadavia De Mendoza Reserve (H)1-4
- Oct 8 · at Boca Juniors Reserve (A)0-1
- Oct 1 · v CD Riestra Reserve (H)0-1
- Sep 25 · v Unión Santa Fe Reserve (H)0-0
- Sep 15 · at CA Independiente Reserve (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | Ferro Carril Oeste Reserve | Colón Reserve |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-2-8 | 1-1-8 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-2-3 | 1-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.