Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sun, Aug 30 · 12:30 · Feyenoord vs ADO Den Haag
Likeliest: Feyenoord win · 55%
We make it 67% for both teams to score. The market says 52%.
15 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Feyenoord55%81%−27
OursMarket
Draw19%12%+6
OursMarket
ADO Den Haag27%6%+20
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | 74% | −2 |
| Both teams score | 67% | 52% | +15 |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | 94% | −20 |
| Double chance X2 | 45% | 19% | +27 |
| Double chance 12 | 81% | 88% | −6 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 67% | 93% | −26 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Feyenoord
DrawWinWinDrawWin
- Aug 23 · at SC Cambuur (A)5-2
- Aug 16 · v Go Ahead Eagles (H)2-2
- Aug 9 · at Sparta Rotterdam (A)1-0
- May 17 · at PEC Zwolle (A)2-0
- May 10 · v AZ (H)1-1
ADO Den Haag
WinWinLossLossLoss
- Aug 23 · at Go Ahead Eagles (A)1-3
- Aug 16 · v FC Groningen (H)1-4
- Aug 8 · at AZ Alkmaar (A)0-2
- Apr 24 · at FC Den Bosch (A)3-1
- Apr 17 · v RKC Waalwijk (H)5-1
| Last 10 games | Feyenoord | ADO Den Haag |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-5-0 | 6-0-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-3-1 | 6-0-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.