Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sun, Feb 15 · 11:15 · Feyenoord vs Go Ahead Eagles
Likeliest: Feyenoord win · 52%
A 26% away win. The market says 13%.
13 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Feyenoord52%69%−17
OursMarket
Draw22%18%+3
OursMarket
Go Ahead Eagles26%13%+13
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 65% | +4 |
| Both teams score | 65% | 57% | +9 |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | 87% | −13 |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | 31% | +17 |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | 82% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 67% | 84% | −18 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Feyenoord
WinWinLossLossWin
- Feb 8 · at FC Utrecht (A)1-0
- Feb 1 · at PSV (A)0-3
- Jan 29 · at Real Betis (A)1-2
- Jan 25 · v Heracles Almelo (H)4-2
- Jan 22 · v Sturm Graz (H)3-0
Go Ahead Eagles
DrawDrawLossDrawLoss
- Feb 11 · v SC Heerenveen (H)1-3
- Feb 8 · v Telstar (H)1-1
- Feb 5 · at Telstar (A)1-2
- Feb 1 · at FC Volendam (A)1-1
- Jan 29 · v Sporting Braga (H)0-0
| Last 10 games | Feyenoord | Go Ahead Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 0-7-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-1-5 | 0-4-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.