Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sat, Mar 1 · 20:00 · Feyenoord vs NEC Nijmegen
Likeliest: Feyenoord win · 50%
A tight one: we make it 50% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Feyenoord50%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
NEC Nijmegen26%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 66% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Feyenoord
WinWinDrawDrawWin
- Feb 22 · v Almere City (H)2-1
- Feb 18 · at Milan (A)1-1
- Feb 15 · at NAC Breda (A)0-0
- Feb 12 · v Milan (H)1-0
- Feb 8 · v Sparta Rotterdam (H)3-0
NEC Nijmegen
WinDrawLossDrawLoss
- Feb 23 · at FC Twente (A)0-2
- Feb 16 · v Almere City (H)2-2
- Feb 8 · at FC Groningen (A)1-2
- Feb 1 · v PSV (H)3-3
- Jan 19 · v Fortuna Sittard (H)4-1
| Last 10 games | Feyenoord | NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-3 | 2-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 17% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-0-1 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.