Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sat, Dec 6 · 20:00 · Feyenoord vs PEC Zwolle
Likeliest: Feyenoord win · 80%
A tight one: we make it 80% for the home win. The market says 81%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Feyenoord80%81%−1
OursMarket
Draw13%12%+1
OursMarket
PEC Zwolle7%7%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | 73% | 0 |
| Double chance 1X | 93% | 93% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 20% | 19% | +1 |
| Double chance 12 | 87% | 88% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 92% | 92% | 0 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Feyenoord
LossLossLossLossWin
- Nov 30 · at Telstar (A)2-1
- Nov 27 · v Celtic (H)1-3
- Nov 23 · v NEC Nijmegen (H)2-4
- Nov 9 · at Go Ahead Eagles (A)1-2
- Nov 6 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)0-2
PEC Zwolle
LossWinDrawWinLoss
- Dec 3 · v AZ (H)1-3
- Nov 28 · v SC Heerenveen (H)2-1
- Nov 23 · at FC Groningen (A)2-2
- Nov 8 · v Sparta Rotterdam (H)1-0
- Nov 2 · at Heracles Almelo (A)2-8
| Last 10 games | Feyenoord | PEC Zwolle |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-0-5 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-0-4 | 4-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.