3rd Division, Group 5 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 24 · 13:00 · Finnsnes IL vs Harstad IL
Likeliest: Harstad IL win · 47%
A tight one: we make it 47% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Finnsnes IL27%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Harstad IL47%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 36% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Finnsnes IL
LossWinDrawDrawWin
- Oct 18 · at Skjetten (A)3-1
- Oct 9 · v IL Ulfstind (H)2-2
- Oct 3 · at Tromsø IL II (A)1-1
- Sep 26 · v Skjervøy (H)2-0
- Sep 20 · at Fløya (A)1-3
Harstad IL
WinLossDrawWinWin
- Oct 17 · v Alta IF (H)6-1
- Oct 11 · at FK Fauske/Sprint (A)4-2
- Oct 4 · v Skedsmo (H)2-2
- Sep 27 · at Kongsvinger 2 (A)1-2
- Sep 19 · v Skjetten (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | Finnsnes IL | Harstad IL |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 8-1-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 3.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-1-3 | 4-0-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.