3rd Division, Group 5 (Norway) · Fri, Oct 9 · 17:15 · Finnsnes IL vs IL Ulfstind
Likeliest: Finnsnes IL win · 56%
A tight one: we make it 56% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Finnsnes IL56%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
IL Ulfstind20%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 80% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 44% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Finnsnes IL
LossLossLossWinDraw
- Oct 3 · at Tromsø IL II (A)1-1
- Sep 26 · v Skjervøy (H)2-0
- Sep 20 · at Fløya (A)1-3
- Sep 12 · v Alta IF (H)1-2
- Sep 6 · at Strømsgodset II (A)1-5
IL Ulfstind
LossLossLossLossLoss
- Oct 3 · v Alta IF (H)0-2
- Sep 26 · at Skedsmo (A)0-7
- Sep 19 · v Bossekop (H)3-4
- Sep 12 · at Harstad IL (A)1-6
- Sep 5 · v FK Fauske/Sprint (H)1-6
| Last 10 games | Finnsnes IL | IL Ulfstind |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-5 | 2-0-8 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-0-3 | 1-0-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.