Serie A (Italy) · Sun, Feb 16 · 11:30 · Fiorentina vs Como
Likeliest: Fiorentina win · 39%
A tight one: we make it 39% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Fiorentina39%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
Como33%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 54% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Fiorentina
DrawWinWinWinLoss
- Feb 10 · at Inter (A)1-2
- Feb 6 · v Inter (H)3-0
- Feb 2 · v Genoa (H)2-1
- Jan 26 · at Lazio (A)2-1
- Jan 19 · v Torino (H)1-1
Como
LossWinLossLossLoss
- Feb 7 · v Juventus (H)1-2
- Feb 1 · at Bologna (A)0-2
- Jan 25 · v Atalanta (H)1-2
- Jan 20 · v Udinese (H)4-1
- Jan 14 · v Milan (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | Fiorentina | Como |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-3 | 1-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 83% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.