Serie A (Italy) · Sun, Feb 2 · 14:00 · Fiorentina vs Genoa
Likeliest: Fiorentina win · 48%
A tight one: we make it 48% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Fiorentina48%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Genoa24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 66% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Fiorentina
LossLossDrawWin
- Jan 26 · at Lazio (A)2-1
- Jan 19 · v Torino (H)1-1
- Jan 13 · at Monza (A)1-2
- Jan 4 · v Napoli (H)0-3
Genoa
DrawWinLossWin
- Jan 27 · v Monza (H)2-0
- Jan 17 · at Roma (A)1-3
- Jan 12 · v Parma (H)1-0
- Jan 5 · at Lecce (A)0-0