Serie A (Italy) · Thu, Feb 6 · 19:45 · Fiorentina vs Inter
Likeliest: Fiorentina win · 44%
A tight one: we make it 44% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Fiorentina44%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
Inter33%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Fiorentina
LossLossDrawWinWin
- Feb 2 · v Genoa (H)2-1
- Jan 26 · at Lazio (A)2-1
- Jan 19 · v Torino (H)1-1
- Jan 13 · at Monza (A)1-2
- Jan 4 · v Napoli (H)0-3
Inter
WinWinWinWinDraw
- Feb 2 · at Milan (A)1-1
- Jan 29 · v Monaco (H)3-0
- Jan 26 · at Lecce (A)4-0
- Jan 22 · at Sparta Praha (A)1-0
- Jan 19 · v Empoli (H)3-1
| Last 10 games | Fiorentina | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-1-2 | 5-2-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 57% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 43% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 57% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.