2. Liga (Austria) · Sun, Aug 16 · 08:30 · First Vienna vs FC Liefering
Likeliest: First Vienna win · 41%
We make it 69% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 57%.
12 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
First Vienna41%42%−1
OursMarket
Draw25%26%−1
OursMarket
FC Liefering34%32%+2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 57% | +12 |
| Both teams score | 54% | 59% | −5 |
| Double chance 1X | 66% | 68% | −2 |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | 58% | +1 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 74% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 55% | 57% | −2 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
First Vienna
WinLoss
- Aug 8 · at Austria Salzburg (A)1-4
- Aug 1 · v Sturm Graz II (H)4-0
FC Liefering
WinLoss
- Aug 7 · v FC Hertha Wels (H)2-3
- Jul 31 · at Kapfenberger SV (A)4-0