2. Liga (Austria) · Fri, Oct 23 · 16:30 · First Vienna vs Floridsdorfer AC
Likeliest: First Vienna win · 53%
Likely score: 2–1
We make it 61% for both teams to score. The market says 50%.
11 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
First Vienna53%52%+2
OursMarket
Draw25%26%−1
OursMarket
Floridsdorfer AC22%23%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 50% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 61% | 50% | +11 |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | 77% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 47% | 48% | −2 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 74% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 71% | 69% | +2 |
| Expected goals | 2.2 | 0.9 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
First Vienna
WinWinWinWinWin
- Oct 16 · at ASK Voitsberg (A)2-1
- Oct 9 · v SKN St. Pölten (H)3-1
- Sep 18 · at FC Hertha Wels (A)3-1
- Sep 11 · at Rapid Wien II (A)2-0
- Aug 28 · v SKU Amstetten (H)1-0
Floridsdorfer AC
WinLossWinLossLoss
- Oct 17 · v Admira Wacker (H)0-2
- Oct 10 · at Austria Salzburg (A)1-2
- Sep 18 · v FC Liefering (H)4-0
- Sep 12 · at Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz (A)0-4
- Aug 29 · v FC Wacker Innsbruck (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | First Vienna | Floridsdorfer AC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-1-1 | 4-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 56% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 44% | 44% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.