2. Liga (Austria) · Fri, Oct 9 · 18:30 · First Vienna vs SKN St. Pölten
Likeliest: First Vienna win · 48%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 48% for the home win. The market says 48%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
First Vienna48%48%0
OursMarket
Draw26%25%+1
OursMarket
SKN St. Pölten26%27%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 59% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 59% | 59% | 0 |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | 73% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 52% | 52% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 75% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | 64% | +1 |
| Expected goals | 1.8 | 1.0 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
First Vienna
DrawWinWinWinWin
- Sep 18 · at FC Hertha Wels (A)3-1
- Sep 11 · at Rapid Wien II (A)2-0
- Aug 28 · v SKU Amstetten (H)1-0
- Aug 21 · at Admira Wacker (A)1-0
- Aug 16 · v FC Liefering (H)2-2
SKN St. Pölten
LossLossWinWinWin
- Sep 19 · v Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz (H)2-1
- Sep 13 · at FC Liefering (A)3-1
- Aug 28 · v Austria Salzburg (H)1-0
- Aug 21 · at FC Wacker Innsbruck (A)0-1
- Aug 14 · v FC Blau Weiss Linz (H)0-1
| Last 10 games | First Vienna | SKN St. Pölten |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-1 | 3-0-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 29% |
| Clean sheets | 57% | 14% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.