Europa Conference League (Europe) · Thu, Aug 27 · 18:30 · FK Borac Banja Luka vs Víkingur Reykjavík
Likeliest: FK Borac Banja Luka win · 47%
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. The market says 44%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FK Borac Banja Luka47%44%+3
OursMarket
Draw24%25%−1
OursMarket
Víkingur Reykjavík29%31%−2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 57% | −20 |
| Both teams score | 56% | 58% | −2 |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | 69% | +2 |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | 56% | −3 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 75% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 62% | 59% | +3 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FK Borac Banja Luka
WinDrawWinLossWin
- Aug 20 · at Víkingur Reykjavík (A)3-1
- Aug 13 · at ML Vitebsk (A)0-1
- Aug 6 · v ML Vitebsk (H)1-0
- Jul 30 · at FC Petrocub Hîncesti (A)3-3
- Jul 23 · v FC Petrocub Hîncesti (H)3-0
Víkingur Reykjavík
DrawWinWinLossWin
- Aug 23 · v Valur Reykjavík (H)2-0
- Aug 20 · v FK Borac Banja Luka (H)1-3
- Aug 16 · at FH Hafnarfjörður (A)4-2
- Aug 13 · v FC Thun (H)3-2
- Aug 9 · v ÍBV Vestmannaeyjar (H)2-2
| Last 10 games | FK Borac Banja Luka | Víkingur Reykjavík |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-2 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 2-2-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.