Superliga (Romania) · Sat, Oct 24 · 12:30 · FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc vs FC Voluntari
Likeliest: FC Voluntari win · 36%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 36% for the away win. The market says 35%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc33%35%−3
OursMarket
Draw32%29%+3
OursMarket
FC Voluntari36%35%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 44% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 65% | 65% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 67% | 65% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 68% | 71% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 48% | 50% | −2 |
| Expected goals | 1.6 | 1.6 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc
LossLossLossLossDraw
- Oct 16 · at SC Oțelul Galați (A)1-1
- Oct 11 · v Universitatea Craiova (H)0-1
- Sep 21 · at FC Petrolul Ploieşti (A)0-2
- Sep 11 · v FC Dinamo București (H)1-3
- Sep 5 · at UTA Arad (A)1-5
FC Voluntari
WinLossLossLossLoss
- Oct 19 · v FCSB (H)1-2
- Oct 9 · at FC Corvinul Hunedoara (A)2-3
- Sep 20 · v FC Universitatea Cluj (H)0-2
- Sep 12 · at FC Rapid București (A)1-2
- Sep 7 · v FC Argeș Pitești (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | FC Voluntari |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-2-8 | 2-1-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 0-1-4 | 0-0-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.