Superliga (Romania) · Sun, Oct 11 · 15:00 · FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc vs Universitatea Craiova
Likeliest: Universitatea Craiova win · 74%
Likely score: 0–2
A tight one: we make it 74% for the away win. The market says 70%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc8%11%−4
OursMarket
Draw18%19%−1
OursMarket
Universitatea Craiova74%70%+4
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 58% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 50% | 49% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 26% | 30% | −4 |
| Double chance X2 | 92% | 89% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 82% | 81% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 10% | 14% | −4 |
| Expected goals | 0.7 | 2.3 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc
LossLossLossLossLoss
- Sep 21 · at FC Petrolul Ploieşti (A)0-2
- Sep 11 · v FC Dinamo București (H)1-3
- Sep 5 · at UTA Arad (A)1-5
- Aug 29 · v CFR 1907 Cluj (H)2-3
- Aug 24 · at FC Botoșani (A)0-1
Universitatea Craiova
LossDrawWinWinWin
- Sep 19 · v FCSB (H)5-0
- Sep 13 · at FC Corvinul Hunedoara (A)1-0
- Sep 7 · v FC Universitatea Cluj (H)4-0
- Aug 31 · at FC Rapid București (A)1-1
- Aug 27 · at FC Ararat-Armenia (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | Universitatea Craiova |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-1-9 | 5-3-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 2-5-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.