Superliga (Serbia) · Sat, Aug 29 · 19:00 · FK Čukarički vs FK Vojvodina
Likeliest: FK Čukarički win · 50%
A tight one: we make it 50% for the home win. The market says 29%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FK Čukarički50%29%+22
OursMarket
Draw24%27%−2
OursMarket
FK Vojvodina25%45%−19
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 51% | +1 |
| Both teams score | 53% | 54% | −1 |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | 55% | +19 |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | 71% | −22 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 73% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 67% | 39% | +27 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FK Čukarički
WinWinDrawWinLoss
- Aug 23 · at FK Crvena zvezda (A)0-4
- Aug 15 · v OFK Beograd (H)2-0
- Aug 9 · at FK Mladost Lučani (A)2-2
- Aug 1 · v FK Radnički 1923 (H)3-0
- Jul 25 · at FK Radnički Niš (A)2-0
FK Vojvodina
LossWinWinLossWin
- Aug 23 · v FK Železničar Pančevo (H)1-0
- Aug 17 · at FK Novi Pazar (A)0-2
- Aug 9 · v FK Radnik Surdulica (H)2-1
- Aug 3 · v FK Mačva Šabac (H)2-0
- Jul 30 · at AFC Ajax (A)1-4
| Last 10 games | FK Čukarički | FK Vojvodina |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-2 | 4-0-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 17% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.