Superliga (Serbia) · Sat, Aug 15 · 19:00 · FK Čukarički vs OFK Beograd
Likeliest: FK Čukarički win · 56%
A 56% home win. The market says 47%.
9 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FK Čukarički56%47%+9
OursMarket
Draw23%27%−4
OursMarket
OFK Beograd21%26%−5
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 49% | −2 |
| Both teams score | 52% | 50% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | 74% | +5 |
| Double chance X2 | 44% | 53% | −9 |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | 73% | +4 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 72% | 64% | +8 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FK Čukarički
LossWinWinDraw
- Aug 9 · at FK Mladost Lučani (A)2-2
- Aug 1 · v FK Radnički 1923 (H)3-0
- Jul 25 · at FK Radnički Niš (A)2-0
- Jul 19 · v FK IMT Beograd (H)0-1
OFK Beograd
LossDrawWinDraw
- Aug 9 · v FK Železničar Pančevo (H)2-2
- Aug 1 · at FK Novi Pazar (A)4-1
- Jul 25 · v FK Radnik Surdulica (H)0-0
- Jul 19 · at FK Vojvodina (A)0-4