Superliga (Serbia) · Sun, Aug 9 · 19:00 · FK Mladost Lučani vs FK Čukarički
Likeliest: FK Mladost Lučani win · 44%
We make it 51% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 42%.
9 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FK Mladost Lučani44%35%+8
OursMarket
Draw27%32%−5
OursMarket
FK Čukarički29%32%−3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 42% | +9 |
| Both teams score | 53% | 50% | +3 |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | 68% | +3 |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | 65% | −8 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 68% | +5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 60% | 52% | +8 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FK Mladost Lučani
WinDrawDrawDraw
- Aug 3 · at FK Železničar Pančevo (A)0-0
- Jul 26 · v FK Novi Pazar (H)0-0
- Jul 19 · at FK Radnik Surdulica (A)1-1
- May 24 · v FK Napredak Kruševac (H)1-0
FK Čukarički
LossWinWin
- Aug 1 · v FK Radnički 1923 (H)3-0
- Jul 25 · at FK Radnički Niš (A)2-0
- Jul 19 · v FK IMT Beograd (H)0-1