Superliga (Serbia) · Sat, Oct 24 · 16:00 · FK Mladost Lučani vs FK Vojvodina
Likeliest: FK Vojvodina win · 64%
Likely score: 0–1
A 64% away win. The market says 59%.
4 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FK Mladost Lučani12%17%−4
OursMarket
Draw24%24%0
OursMarket
FK Vojvodina64%59%+4
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 51% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 37% | 41% | −4 |
| Double chance X2 | 88% | 83% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 76% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 16% | 22% | −6 |
| Expected goals | 1.1 | 1.6 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FK Mladost Lučani
WinLossWinDrawLoss
- Oct 18 · at FK Crvena zvezda (A)1-5
- Oct 12 · v OFK Beograd (H)0-0
- Sep 20 · at FK Mačva Šabac (A)2-1
- Sep 12 · at FK Radnički 1923 (A)0-5
- Sep 5 · v FK Radnički Niš (H)1-0
FK Vojvodina
WinWinDrawWinWin
- Oct 17 · v FK Radnički 1923 (H)2-0
- Oct 11 · at FK Radnički Niš (A)4-1
- Sep 19 · v FK IMT Beograd (H)1-1
- Sep 13 · at FK Partizan (A)3-2
- Sep 6 · v FK Zemun (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | FK Mladost Lučani | FK Vojvodina |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-3 | 8-1-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-0 | 3-0-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.