Superliga (Serbia) · Sun, Sep 13 · 15:00 · FK Partizan vs FK Vojvodina
Likeliest: FK Partizan win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the home win. The market says 42%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FK Partizan41%42%−2
OursMarket
Draw26%25%+1
OursMarket
FK Vojvodina33%32%+1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 62% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 66% | 63% | +3 |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | 68% | −1 |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | 58% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 75% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 55% | 57% | −2 |
| Expected goals | 2.2 | 1.3 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FK Partizan
LossLossWinWinLoss
- Sep 6 · at FK Crvena zvezda (A)1-2
- Aug 31 · v OFK Beograd (H)3-1
- Aug 27 · v Getafe (H)2-1
- Aug 23 · at FK Mladost Lučani (A)1-3
- Aug 20 · at Getafe (A)1-3
FK Vojvodina
WinLossWinWinWin
- Sep 6 · v FK Zemun (H)2-1
- Aug 29 · at FK Čukarički (A)5-0
- Aug 23 · v FK Železničar Pančevo (H)1-0
- Aug 17 · at FK Novi Pazar (A)0-2
- Aug 9 · v FK Radnik Surdulica (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | FK Partizan | FK Vojvodina |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-0-5 | 6-0-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-0-2 | 1-0-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.