Superliga (Serbia) · Sun, Oct 11 · 13:00 · FK Radnički Niš vs FK Vojvodina
Likeliest: FK Vojvodina win · 64%
Likely score: 1–2
A tight one: we make it 64% for the away win. The market says 67%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FK Radnički Niš12%12%0
OursMarket
Draw24%21%+3
OursMarket
FK Vojvodina64%67%−2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 60% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 50% | 51% | −1 |
| Double chance 1X | 36% | 33% | +2 |
| Double chance X2 | 88% | 88% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 79% | −3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 16% | 16% | 0 |
| Expected goals | 1.4 | 1.3 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FK Radnički Niš
LossDrawLossWinLoss
- Sep 20 · at FK Crvena zvezda (A)0-3
- Sep 13 · v OFK Beograd (H)3-1
- Sep 5 · at FK Mladost Lučani (A)0-1
- Aug 29 · v FK Radnički 1923 (H)1-1
- Aug 22 · at FK Mačva Šabac (A)0-1
FK Vojvodina
WinWinWinWinDraw
- Sep 19 · v FK IMT Beograd (H)1-1
- Sep 13 · at FK Partizan (A)3-2
- Sep 6 · v FK Zemun (H)2-1
- Aug 29 · at FK Čukarički (A)5-0
- Aug 23 · v FK Železničar Pančevo (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | FK Radnički Niš | FK Vojvodina |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 6-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 2-0-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.