Chance Liga (Czech Republic) · Sun, Sep 13 · 16:00 · FK Teplice vs SK Slavia Praha
Likeliest: SK Slavia Praha win · 62%
A tight one: we make it 62% for the away win. The market says 60%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FK Teplice13%16%−3
OursMarket
Draw25%24%+1
OursMarket
SK Slavia Praha62%60%+2
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 54% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 54% | 52% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 38% | 40% | −2 |
| Double chance X2 | 87% | 84% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 76% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 17% | 21% | −4 |
| Expected goals | 1.1 | 1.6 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FK Teplice
DrawLossLossWinWin
- Sep 6 · at FC Zlín (A)3-1
- Aug 30 · v FK Jablonec (H)2-0
- Aug 23 · v FC Zbrojovka Brno (H)0-2
- Aug 15 · at AC Sparta Praha (A)1-4
- Aug 8 · v Viktoria Plzeň (H)5-5
SK Slavia Praha
DrawDrawWinWinLoss
- Sep 10 · v RC Lens (H)2-3
- Sep 5 · v FC Zbrojovka Brno (H)4-0
- Aug 30 · at AC Sparta Praha (A)3-0
- Aug 22 · v Bohemians Praha 1905 (H)2-2
- Aug 16 · at FC Slovan Liberec (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | FK Teplice | SK Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-2 | 6-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 89% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 44% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.