Superliga (Serbia) · Sat, Sep 19 · 15:00 · FK Vojvodina vs FK IMT Beograd
Likeliest: FK Vojvodina win · 59%
A tight one: we make it 59% for the home win. The market says 58%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FK Vojvodina59%58%+1
OursMarket
Draw24%24%0
OursMarket
FK IMT Beograd17%18%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 53% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 55% | 53% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 83% | 82% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 41% | 42% | −1 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 76% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 77% | 76% | +1 |
| Expected goals | 1.5 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FK Vojvodina
LossWinWinWinWin
- Sep 13 · at FK Partizan (A)3-2
- Sep 6 · v FK Zemun (H)2-1
- Aug 29 · at FK Čukarički (A)5-0
- Aug 23 · v FK Železničar Pančevo (H)1-0
- Aug 17 · at FK Novi Pazar (A)0-2
FK IMT Beograd
DrawLossWinDrawLoss
- Sep 13 · v FK Crvena zvezda (H)0-1
- Sep 7 · at OFK Beograd (A)1-1
- Aug 30 · v FK Mladost Lučani (H)2-0
- Aug 22 · at FK Radnički 1923 (A)1-2
- Aug 16 · v FK Radnički Niš (H)0-0
| Last 10 games | FK Vojvodina | FK IMT Beograd |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-0-4 | 4-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-0-2 | 2-1-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.