Superliga (Serbia) · Sat, Oct 17 · 15:00 · FK Vojvodina vs FK Radnički 1923
Likeliest: FK Vojvodina win · 56%
Likely score: 2–1
We make it 64% for both teams to score. The market says 56%.
8 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FK Vojvodina56%55%+1
OursMarket
Draw24%24%0
OursMarket
FK Radnički 192320%22%−1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 59% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 64% | 56% | +8 |
| Double chance 1X | 80% | 78% | +1 |
| Double chance X2 | 44% | 45% | −1 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 76% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | 72% | +1 |
| Expected goals | 2.1 | 1.5 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FK Vojvodina
WinWinWinDrawWin
- Oct 11 · at FK Radnički Niš (A)4-1
- Sep 19 · v FK IMT Beograd (H)1-1
- Sep 13 · at FK Partizan (A)3-2
- Sep 6 · v FK Zemun (H)2-1
- Aug 29 · at FK Čukarički (A)5-0
FK Radnički 1923
DrawDrawWinWinLoss
- Oct 10 · v FK Crvena zvezda (H)0-3
- Sep 19 · at OFK Beograd (A)5-3
- Sep 12 · v FK Mladost Lučani (H)5-0
- Sep 5 · at FK Mačva Šabac (A)0-0
- Aug 29 · at FK Radnički Niš (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | FK Vojvodina | FK Radnički 1923 |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-1-2 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-1-2 | 2-2-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.