Superliga (Serbia) · Sun, Aug 23 · 19:00 · FK Vojvodina vs FK Železničar Pančevo
Likeliest: FK Vojvodina win · 51%
We make it 49% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 37%.
12 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
FK Vojvodina51%61%−11
OursMarket
Draw26%21%+4
OursMarket
FK Železničar Pančevo24%17%+6
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 63% | −12 |
| Both teams score | 50% | 58% | −8 |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | 83% | −6 |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | 39% | +11 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 79% | −4 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | 78% | −10 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FK Vojvodina
LossLossWinWinLoss
- Aug 17 · at FK Novi Pazar (A)0-2
- Aug 9 · v FK Radnik Surdulica (H)2-1
- Aug 3 · v FK Mačva Šabac (H)2-0
- Jul 30 · at AFC Ajax (A)1-4
- Jul 26 · at FK Crvena zvezda (A)1-3
FK Železničar Pančevo
WinLossLossDrawDraw
- Aug 9 · at OFK Beograd (A)2-2
- Aug 3 · v FK Mladost Lučani (H)0-0
- Jul 30 · at Sporting Braga (A)0-4
- Jul 22 · v Sporting Braga (H)0-1
- Jul 17 · v FK Radnički Niš (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | FK Vojvodina | FK Železničar Pančevo |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-0-6 | 1-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-0-2 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.