3rd Division, Group 4 (Norway) · Fri, Oct 9 · 15:00 · Flekkerøy vs Odds BK II
Likeliest: Flekkerøy win · 46%
A 27% draw. The market says 20%.
7 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Flekkerøy46%59%−13
OursMarket
Draw27%20%+7
OursMarket
Odds BK II27%21%+6
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 76% | −24 |
| Both teams score | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | 79% | −6 |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | 41% | +13 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 80% | −7 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | 74% | −11 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Flekkerøy
LossLossDrawWinWin
- Oct 3 · at Vindbjart (A)2-1
- Sep 27 · at Stabæk Fotball II (A)2-1
- Sep 19 · v Varhaug (H)1-1
- Sep 12 · at FK Mandalskameratene (A)1-3
- Sep 5 · v Madla (H)0-2
Odds BK II
WinWinDrawLossWin
- Oct 5 · v Viking FK II (H)3-1
- Sep 26 · at FK Mandalskameratene (A)0-4
- Sep 21 · v Stabæk Fotball II (H)1-1
- Sep 14 · at Åkra (A)2-1
- Sep 6 · v Haugesund II (H)7-1
| Last 10 games | Flekkerøy | Odds BK II |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-5 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.