3rd Division, Group 4 (Norway) · Sun, Oct 18 · 14:00 · Flekkerøy vs Våg FK
Likeliest: Flekkerøy win · 42%
A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Flekkerøy42%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
Våg FK29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 59% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Flekkerøy
LossDrawWinWinLoss
- Oct 9 · v Odds BK II (H)0-1
- Oct 3 · at Vindbjart (A)2-1
- Sep 27 · at Stabæk Fotball II (A)2-1
- Sep 19 · v Varhaug (H)1-1
- Sep 12 · at FK Mandalskameratene (A)1-3
Våg FK
WinDrawWinWinWin
- Oct 10 · at Staal Jørpeland (A)4-0
- Oct 3 · v Varhaug (H)4-1
- Sep 26 · at Viking FK II (A)2-1
- Sep 19 · v Brodd (H)2-2
- Sep 12 · at Haugesund II (A)3-0
| Last 10 games | Flekkerøy | Våg FK |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-5 | 5-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-1-3 | 3-1-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.