2. Liga (Austria) · Fri, Sep 18 · 16:30 · Floridsdorfer AC vs FC Liefering
Likeliest: Floridsdorfer AC win · 39%
A tight one: we make it 39% for the home win. The market says 39%.
Nothing here separates us from the market by four points or more, so there is no spot on this match. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Floridsdorfer AC39%39%−1
OursMarket
Draw26%25%0
OursMarket
FC Liefering36%35%0
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 58% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 59% | 59% | 0 |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | 65% | 0 |
| Double chance X2 | 62% | 61% | +1 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 75% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 52% | 53% | −1 |
| Expected goals | 2.2 | 1.8 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Floridsdorfer AC
LossDrawWinWinLoss
- Sep 12 · at Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz (A)0-4
- Aug 29 · v FC Wacker Innsbruck (H)2-0
- Aug 22 · at Rapid Wien II (A)2-0
- Aug 15 · v SKU Amstetten (H)2-2
- Aug 8 · at Sturm Graz II (A)2-4
FC Liefering
LossDrawWinWinLoss
- Sep 13 · v SKN St. Pölten (H)1-3
- Aug 28 · at ASK Voitsberg (A)3-2
- Aug 21 · v Young Violets Austria Wien (H)2-1
- Aug 16 · at First Vienna (A)2-2
- Aug 7 · v FC Hertha Wels (H)2-3
| Last 10 games | Floridsdorfer AC | FC Liefering |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-2 | 3-1-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 83% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 17% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.