2. Liga (Austria) · Fri, Jul 31 · 18:30 · Floridsdorfer AC vs SKN St. Pölten
Likeliest: Floridsdorfer AC win · 40%
A 40% home win. The market says 31%.
9 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Floridsdorfer AC40%31%+9
OursMarket
Draw29%29%0
OursMarket
SKN St. Pölten31%40%−9
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 45% | +4 |
| Both teams score | 52% | 50% | +2 |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | 60% | +9 |
| Double chance X2 | 60% | 69% | −9 |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | 71% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 56% | 44% | +12 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.