USL League One (USA) · Sat, Oct 24 · 23:30 · Fort Wayne FC vs AC Boise
Likeliest: Fort Wayne FC win · 43%
Likely score: 2–1
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Fort Wayne FC43%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
AC Boise32%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.6 | 1.3 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Fort Wayne FC
DrawDrawWinWinLoss
- Oct 17 · v Sarasota Paradise (H)1-3
- Oct 10 · at Union Omaha SC (A)1-0
- Oct 8 · at Corpus Christi FC (A)3-1
- Oct 3 · v Forward Madison FC (H)0-0
- Sep 26 · at Charlotte Independence (A)0-0
AC Boise
DrawLossWinWinWin
- Oct 18 · v AV Alta FC (H)2-1
- Oct 10 · at Portland Hearts of Pine (A)2-1
- Oct 3 · v Greenville Triumph SC (H)1-0
- Sep 27 · at Corpus Christi FC (A)1-2
- Sep 20 · at Spokane Velocity FC (A)2-2
| Last 10 games | Fort Wayne FC | AC Boise |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-3 | 6-3-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-5 | 5-2-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.