Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sun, Feb 9 · 13:30 · Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax
Likeliest: Fortuna Sittard win · 40%
A tight one: we make it 40% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Fortuna Sittard40%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Ajax34%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 54% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Fortuna Sittard
LossLossLossDraw
- Feb 1 · at SC Heerenveen (A)2-2
- Jan 26 · v PEC Zwolle (H)1-4
- Jan 19 · at NEC Nijmegen (A)1-4
- Jan 10 · v Go Ahead Eagles (H)0-3
Ajax
LossWinLossWinWin
- Feb 2 · v Feyenoord (H)2-1
- Jan 30 · v Galatasaray (H)2-1
- Jan 23 · at Rīgas FS (A)0-1
- Jan 19 · at SC Heerenveen (A)2-0
- Jan 14 · at AZ (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | Fortuna Sittard | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 4-0-2 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 50% |
| Both teams scored | — | 50% |
| Clean sheets | — | 17% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.