Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sat, Mar 8 · 15:30 · Fortuna Sittard vs Heracles Almelo
Likeliest: Fortuna Sittard win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Fortuna Sittard51%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
Heracles Almelo24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Fortuna Sittard
LossDrawLossLossWin
- Feb 28 · at RKC Waalwijk (A)2-1
- Feb 23 · at AZ (A)0-1
- Feb 9 · v Ajax (H)0-2
- Feb 1 · at SC Heerenveen (A)2-2
- Jan 26 · v PEC Zwolle (H)1-4
Heracles Almelo
DrawWinWinLossWin
- Mar 2 · v PEC Zwolle (H)4-2
- Feb 16 · at Ajax (A)0-4
- Feb 8 · v Go Ahead Eagles (H)4-2
- Feb 4 · v FC Utrecht (H)2-0
- Jan 31 · at NAC Breda (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Fortuna Sittard | Heracles Almelo |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-1-5 | 5-4-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Fortuna Sittard form·Heracles Almelo form·Head-to-head record