Eredivisie (Netherlands) · Sat, Nov 8 · 19:00 · Fortuna Sittard vs SC Heerenveen
Likeliest: Fortuna Sittard win · 44%
A tight one: we make it 44% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Fortuna Sittard44%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
SC Heerenveen28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Fortuna Sittard
WinLossLossWinLoss
- Oct 31 · at PSV (A)2-5
- Oct 28 · at Gemert (A)1-0
- Oct 25 · v FC Groningen (H)1-2
- Oct 19 · at Excelsior (A)0-1
- Oct 4 · v FC Volendam (H)1-0
SC Heerenveen
WinWinDrawWinDraw
- Nov 1 · at Ajax (A)1-1
- Oct 28 · at VVV-Venlo (A)3-0
- Oct 24 · v NAC Breda (H)3-3
- Oct 19 · at Telstar (A)3-2
- Oct 4 · v Excelsior (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | Fortuna Sittard | SC Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-0-5 | 4-4-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-2-3 | 2-2-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.