3rd Division, Group 6 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 24 · 13:00 · Fram Larvik vs Lillehammer
Likeliest: Lillehammer win · 44%
A tight one: we make it 44% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Fram Larvik29%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Lillehammer44%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 40% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Fram Larvik
DrawLossDrawWinLoss
- Oct 17 · at Raelingen FK (A)0-4
- Oct 10 · v Brumunddal (H)4-0
- Oct 3 · v Sandefjord Fotball II (H)1-1
- Sep 26 · at Ørn-Horten (A)2-4
- Sep 19 · v Råde (H)1-1
Lillehammer
WinWinWinWinWin
- Oct 17 · v Sandefjord Fotball II (H)5-0
- Oct 10 · at Ørn-Horten (A)1-0
- Oct 3 · v Oppsal (H)3-2
- Sep 26 · at Råde (A)5-1
- Sep 19 · v Bjoerkelangen (H)7-1
| Last 10 games | Fram Larvik | Lillehammer |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-4 | 8-0-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.5 | 3.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-1 | 4-0-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.