3rd Division, Group 1 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 24 · 15:30 · Frigg vs Grei
Likeliest: Frigg win · 58%
Likely score: 2–1
A tight one: we make it 58% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Frigg58%——
OursMarket
Draw18%——
OursMarket
Grei24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 94% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 82% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 65% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 79% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 42% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 83% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 71% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 2.9 | 1.9 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Frigg
LossDrawLossLossLoss
- Oct 19 · at KFUM Oslo II (A)0-6
- Oct 14 · at Asker (A)2-3
- Oct 10 · at Vålerenga IF II (A)1-4
- Oct 3 · v Gamle Oslo FK (H)1-1
- Sep 26 · at FK Union Carl Berner (A)2-6
Grei
LossWinWinWinWin
- Oct 17 · v Gamle Oslo FK (H)2-1
- Oct 10 · at Ullern (A)2-0
- Oct 3 · v Asker (H)4-3
- Sep 26 · at Ready (A)3-2
- Sep 19 · v Heming (H)1-4
| Last 10 games | Frigg | Grei |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 5-0-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 3.1 | 2.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-3-0 | 3-0-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.