Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Feb 8 · 14:30 · FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Augsburg
Likeliest: FSV Mainz 05 win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
FSV Mainz 0551%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
FC Augsburg24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FSV Mainz 05
WinLossLossWinLoss
- Jan 31 · at Werder Bremen (A)0-1
- Jan 25 · v VfB Stuttgart (H)2-0
- Jan 19 · at FC Union Berlin (A)1-2
- Jan 14 · at Bayer 04 Leverkusen (A)0-1
- Jan 11 · v VfL Bochum 1848 (H)2-0
FC Augsburg
WinWinWinDrawLoss
- Feb 4 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)0-1
- Feb 1 · at St. Pauli (A)1-1
- Jan 25 · v Heidenheim (H)2-1
- Jan 19 · at Werder Bremen (A)2-0
- Jan 15 · at FC Union Berlin (A)2-0
| Last 10 games | FSV Mainz 05 | FC Augsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-0-3 | 3-1-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 33% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.