DFB Pokal (Germany) · Wed, Oct 29 · 17:00 · FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart
Likeliest: FSV Mainz 05 win · 44%
A tight one: we make it 44% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
FSV Mainz 0544%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
VfB Stuttgart29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 60% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
FSV Mainz 05
WinLossLossWinLoss
- Oct 26 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)1-2
- Oct 23 · v Zrinjski (H)1-0
- Oct 18 · v Bayer 04 Leverkusen (H)3-4
- Oct 5 · at Hamburger SV (A)0-4
- Oct 2 · at Omonia Nicosia (A)1-0
VfB Stuttgart
LossWinWinLossWin
- Oct 26 · v FSV Mainz 05 (H)2-1
- Oct 23 · at Fenerbahçe (A)0-1
- Oct 18 · at VfL Wolfsburg (A)3-0
- Oct 5 · v Heidenheim (H)1-0
- Oct 2 · at Basel (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | FSV Mainz 05 | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-5 | 7-0-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-4-4 | 5-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.