Premier League (England) · Sat, Feb 22 · 15:00 · Fulham vs Crystal Palace
Likeliest: Fulham win · 38%
A tight one: we make it 38% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Fulham38%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Crystal Palace33%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 54% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Fulham
WinLossWinWinWin
- Feb 15 · v Nottingham Forest (H)2-1
- Feb 8 · at Wigan Athletic (A)2-1
- Feb 1 · at Newcastle United (A)2-1
- Jan 26 · v Manchester United (H)0-1
- Jan 18 · at Leicester City (A)2-0
Crystal Palace
WinLossWinWinLoss
- Feb 15 · v Everton (H)1-2
- Feb 10 · at Doncaster Rovers (A)2-0
- Feb 2 · at Manchester United (A)2-0
- Jan 26 · v Brentford (H)1-2
- Jan 18 · at West Ham United (A)2-0
| Last 10 games | Fulham | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-1-2 | 5-1-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 38% |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 63% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.