Premier League (England) · Sat, Feb 15 · 15:00 · Fulham vs Nottingham Forest
Likeliest: Fulham win · 47%
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Fulham47%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
Nottingham Forest27%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Fulham
LossWinLossWinWin
- Feb 8 · at Wigan Athletic (A)2-1
- Feb 1 · at Newcastle United (A)2-1
- Jan 26 · v Manchester United (H)0-1
- Jan 18 · at Leicester City (A)2-0
- Jan 14 · at West Ham United (A)2-3
Nottingham Forest
WinDrawWinLossWin
- Feb 1 · v Brighton & Hove Albion (H)7-0
- Jan 25 · at AFC Bournemouth (A)0-5
- Jan 19 · v Southampton (H)3-2
- Jan 14 · v Liverpool (H)1-1
- Jan 11 · v Luton Town (H)2-0
| Last 10 games | Fulham | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-2 | 4-1-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.0 | 2.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.