3rd Division, Group 1 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 24 · 16:30 · Gamle Oslo FK vs Bærum SK
Likeliest: Gamle Oslo FK win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Gamle Oslo FK46%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Bærum SK26%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Gamle Oslo FK
LossLossDrawWinLoss
- Oct 17 · at Grei (A)1-2
- Oct 10 · v Nordstrand (H)1-0
- Oct 3 · at Frigg (A)1-1
- Sep 26 · at Lokomotiv Oslo (A)1-4
- Sep 20 · v Asker (H)1-2
Bærum SK
LossLossLossLossWin
- Oct 17 · v Ullern (H)2-1
- Oct 10 · at Asker (A)2-4
- Oct 4 · v Ready (H)1-2
- Oct 1 · v Lillestrøm SK (H)1-5
- Sep 26 · at Vålerenga IF II (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | Gamle Oslo FK | Bærum SK |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-5 | 3-1-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-0-2 | 1-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.