Serie A (Italy) · Mon, Feb 17 · 19:45 · Genoa vs Venezia
Likeliest: Genoa win · 44%
A tight one: we make it 44% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Genoa44%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Venezia28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Genoa
WinLossWinLossDraw
- Feb 8 · at Torino (A)1-1
- Feb 2 · at Fiorentina (A)1-2
- Jan 27 · v Monza (H)2-0
- Jan 17 · at Roma (A)1-3
- Jan 12 · v Parma (H)1-0
Venezia
LossDrawDrawLossLoss
- Feb 9 · v Roma (H)0-1
- Feb 1 · at Udinese (A)2-3
- Jan 27 · v Hellas Verona (H)1-1
- Jan 19 · at Parma (A)1-1
- Jan 12 · v Inter (H)0-1
| Last 10 games | Genoa | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-2 | 0-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.