La Liga (Spain) · Sun, Mar 9 · 13:00 · Getafe vs Atlético Madrid
Likeliest: Getafe win · 37%
A tight one: we make it 37% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Getafe37%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Atlético Madrid36%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 51% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Getafe
LossWinWinLossLoss
- Mar 2 · at Leganés (A)0-1
- Feb 23 · v Real Betis (H)1-2
- Feb 14 · at Girona (A)2-1
- Feb 9 · at Deportivo Alavés (A)1-0
- Feb 4 · at Atlético Madrid (A)0-5
Atlético Madrid
DrawWinDrawWinLoss
- Mar 4 · at Real Madrid (A)1-2
- Mar 1 · v Athletic Club (H)1-0
- Feb 25 · at FC Barcelona (A)4-4
- Feb 22 · at Valencia (A)3-0
- Feb 15 · v Celta de Vigo (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Getafe | Atlético Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-3 | 5-4-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 4-2-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.