La Liga (Spain) · Fri, Oct 31 · 20:00 · Getafe vs Girona
Likeliest: Getafe win · 52%
A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Getafe52%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Girona24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Getafe
DrawLossLossWinWin
- Oct 28 · at Inter de Valdemoro (A)11-0
- Oct 25 · at Athletic Club (A)1-0
- Oct 19 · v Real Madrid (H)0-1
- Oct 3 · at Osasuna (A)1-2
- Sep 27 · v Levante (H)1-1
Girona
DrawDrawWinLossDraw
- Oct 25 · v Real Oviedo (H)3-3
- Oct 18 · at FC Barcelona (A)1-2
- Oct 4 · v Valencia (H)2-1
- Sep 26 · v Espanyol (H)0-0
- Sep 23 · at Athletic Club (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Getafe | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-4 | 1-4-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-2-6 | 1-4-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.