La Liga (Spain) · Sun, Feb 23 · 17:30 · Getafe vs Real Betis
Likeliest: Getafe win · 39%
A tight one: we make it 39% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Getafe39%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Real Betis33%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 54% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Getafe
WinDrawLossWinWin
- Feb 14 · at Girona (A)2-1
- Feb 9 · at Deportivo Alavés (A)1-0
- Feb 4 · at Atlético Madrid (A)0-5
- Feb 1 · v Sevilla (H)0-0
- Jan 26 · at Real Sociedad (A)3-0
Real Betis
DrawLossWinWinLoss
- Feb 20 · v Gent (H)0-1
- Feb 16 · v Real Sociedad (H)3-0
- Feb 13 · at Gent (A)3-0
- Feb 8 · at Celta de Vigo (A)2-3
- Feb 2 · v Athletic Club (H)2-2
| Last 10 games | Getafe | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-1 | 4-1-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 3-0-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.