La Liga (Spain) · Sat, Feb 1 · 13:00 · Getafe vs Sevilla
Likeliest: Getafe win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Getafe41%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Sevilla30%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Getafe
WinWinDrawWin
- Jan 26 · at Real Sociedad (A)3-0
- Jan 18 · v FC Barcelona (H)1-1
- Jan 15 · at Pontevedra (A)1-0
- Jan 12 · at Las Palmas (A)2-1
Sevilla
LossDrawWinDraw
- Jan 25 · v Espanyol (H)1-1
- Jan 18 · at Girona (A)2-1
- Jan 11 · v Valencia (H)1-1
- Jan 4 · at Almería (A)1-4