Campeonato de Reserva de Primera División (Argentina) · Wed, Oct 21 · 18:00 · Gimnasia y Esgrima Reserve vs Talleres de Córdoba Reserve
Likeliest: Gimnasia y Esgrima Reserve win · 42%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Gimnasia y Esgrima Reserve42%——
OursMarket
Draw35%——
OursMarket
Talleres de Córdoba Reserve23%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 44% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 65% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 64% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.0 | 0.7 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Gimnasia y Esgrima Reserve
WinWinLossDrawLoss
- Oct 13 · at Banfield Reserve (A)0-1
- Oct 6 · v Rosario Central Reserve (H)2-2
- Sep 29 · at Tigre Reserve (A)1-2
- Sep 23 · v Estudiantes de La Plata Reserve (H)2-0
- Sep 16 · v San Lorenzo Reserve (H)2-0
Talleres de Córdoba Reserve
LossDrawWinLossWin
- Oct 15 · v Unión Santa Fe Reserve (H)3-0
- Oct 8 · at Atlético Tucumán Reserve (A)0-2
- Oct 1 · v Godoy Cruz Reserve (H)3-1
- Sep 23 · at Belgrano Reserve (A)1-1
- Sep 16 · at Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Reserve (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | Gimnasia y Esgrima Reserve | Talleres de Córdoba Reserve |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 4-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-2 | 2-2-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.