La Liga 2 (Spain) · Sun, Aug 16 · 17:00 · Girona FC vs Leganés
Likeliest: Girona FC win · 56%
A 22% away win. The market says 16%.
6 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Girona FC56%58%−2
OursMarket
Draw22%25%−4
OursMarket
Leganés22%16%+6
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 46% | +5 |
| Both teams score | 48% | 44% | +4 |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | 84% | −6 |
| Double chance X2 | 44% | 42% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | 75% | +4 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 72% | 78% | −6 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Girona FC
No recent results tracked.
Leganés
LossLossDrawLossWin
- May 31 · v Mirandés (H)1-0
- May 24 · at Cádiz (A)0-3
- May 18 · v Huesca (H)0-0
- May 10 · v Racing Santander (H)1-2
- May 1 · at Deportivo La Coruña (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Girona FC | Leganés |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 2-2-6 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 60% |
| Both teams scored | — | 50% |
| Clean sheets | — | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 0-2-8 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.